It's a tale of two weather systems in Alabama this week. While the state braces for the potential impact of Tropical Storm Helene, which is forecast to make landfall in Florida on Thursday, a separate weather system could bring strong storms to north Alabama as early as Tuesday afternoon.
The National Weather Service in Huntsville has issued a Level 1 out of 5 risk for severe weather in the region, indicating that isolated strong storms are possible. These storms could bring heavy rain and strong winds, with gusts potentially reaching up to 60 mph. While a tornado risk is low, the possibility cannot be entirely ruled out.
The storms are expected to develop from a cold front slowly moving in from the north, and the window for activity is projected from 1 p.m. to 9 p.m. Tuesday. Thankfully, no organized severe weather is expected for the rest of the state.
However, the focus quickly shifts to Tropical Storm Helene, which is forecast to make landfall in Florida on Thursday. While the storm is expected to weaken as it moves inland, its remnants are likely to bring heavy rain and potential flooding to Alabama, particularly in the eastern half of the state.
The National Weather Service has issued a flash flood watch for several counties, extending from Gadsden and Anniston south to Dothan. Rain is anticipated to continue through Wednesday night, with some areas potentially receiving as much as 4 inches of rain. The stalled front responsible for the rain could linger across the Tennessee Valley, exacerbating the flooding risk.
Forecasters emphasize that the location of the stalled front will play a crucial role in determining the extent and intensity of the rainfall. The additional rain from Helene could compound flooding issues, particularly in areas that have already received significant precipitation in recent days.
As if this weren't enough, a third weather system is brewing in the western Caribbean Sea, and could enter the Gulf of Mexico by the end of next week. While this is still 10 days out, forecasters are closely monitoring its development, as it could bring more rain to Alabama in the coming days.
With the potential for strong storms and heavy rains across the state, it's important for residents to stay informed and prepared. Check local weather reports frequently and be aware of potential hazards.
Staying Safe Amid the Storms
Strong Storms
- Stay Informed: Monitor local weather reports and alerts from the National Weather Service.
- Seek Shelter: If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, seek shelter immediately in a sturdy building or basement.
- Avoid Water: Do not drive or walk through flooded areas.
- Secure Loose Objects: Bring outdoor furniture and other loose items indoors to prevent them from being blown around by strong winds.
Flooding
- Stay Away from Water: Never try to walk or drive through floodwaters.
- Be Prepared to Evacuate: If you live in a flood-prone area, have a plan for where to go in case of evacuation.
- Check for Flood Warnings: Be aware of flood warnings and advisories issued by local authorities.
Looking Ahead: What's Next for Alabama?
While the immediate focus is on the potential for strong storms and flooding, residents should prepare for a potentially active weather week. The remnants of Tropical Storm Helene are expected to linger in the region, bringing continued rain and potential flooding through Friday.
The storm's impact will vary across the state, with the heaviest rain likely falling east of I-65. West Alabama may experience scattered showers, but significant flooding is unlikely.
The Alabama Gulf Coast will also see impacts from Helene, with high surf and rip currents likely through Friday. While the heavy rain shield is expected to remain near Destin, scattered showers are possible at times along the Alabama coast.
While the weekend is looking mostly dry, it's too early to say with certainty how the weather will evolve. Stay tuned for updates and be prepared for continued potential for rain and storms in the coming days.
A Weekend of Football
As the weather throws its best (or worst) at Alabama, it's still football season, and the state is ready for a weekend of college football. Here's the forecast for the big games:
- UAB vs. Navy (Saturday, 11 a.m.) Partly cloudy with a small risk of a shower during the game. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 70s.
- Auburn vs. Oklahoma (Saturday, 2:30 p.m.) Partly to mostly cloudy with temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.
- Alabama vs. Georgia (Saturday, 6:30 p.m.) Mostly cloudy with a small risk of a shower during the first half of the game. Temperatures around 70 degrees.
Enjoy the games and stay safe!