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Real Sociedad vs. Alaves Prediction: La Liga Matchup Preview & Best Bets

28 August, 2024 - 8:04PM
Real Sociedad vs. Alaves Prediction: La Liga Matchup Preview & Best Bets
Credit: imageservera.com

On Wednesday, Real Sociedad will attempt to claim a second straight win when they play host to fellow Basque side Alaves. After finishing in sixth place last season, Real Sociedad will be targeting another top-six finish this season, while they may also have aspirations of repeating their top-four finish from the 2022-23 season. Unfortunately for La Real, they have lost the services of key defender Robin Le Normand to Atletico Madrid, and are set to bid farewell to Mikel Merino, with the midfielder on the brink of completing a move to Arsenal. They have at least managed to retain the services of Liverpool target Martin Zubimendi, who scored a late consolation in Real Sociedad's surprise opening-day defeat to Rayo Vallecano. After getting off to a disappointing start, Imanol Alguacil's side managed to produce a positive response in Saturday's away game against newly-promoted Espanyol, with Take Kubo coming off the bench to score an 80th-minute winner. Real Sociedad will fancy their chances of adding to their points tally on Wednesday, having avoided defeat in their previous six competitive meetings with Alaves (W3, D3).

Meanwhile, the visitors are searching for their first victory of the season after taking just one point from their opening two games. Alaves are competing in La Liga for a second straight season after steering well clear of a relegation fight last term. Luis Garcia's side collected 46 points from 38 matches to finish in 10th place, representing their first top-half finish in La Liga in 2016-17. Alaves have seen a significant turnover in players over the summer and the early signs suggest that they may struggle to match the heights of last season, with their first two matches yielding a solitary point. El Glorioso gave a slender advantage to fall to a 2-1 defeat in their league opener against Celta Vigo, before they played out a goalless draw in Sunday's home meeting with Real Betis - a result that did extend their unbeaten home run to five league matches. Alaves will now turn their focus to a trip to the Reale Arena, with the visitors looking to claim their first win against Real Sociedad since June 2020 and their first head-to-head away victory since December 2018.

Real Sociedad Injuries

Real Sociedad remain without the services of Arsen Zakharyan, while Ander Barrenetxea is a doubt after he sat out Saturday's win due to an injury issue. Aritz Elustondo and Jon Pacheco failed to make it through the win against Espanyol unscathed, and they could miss the midweek fixture with knee and ankle injuries respectively. Kubo dropped to the bench at the weekend, but he could be rewarded with a recall after making a significant impact from the bench.

Alaves Injuries

Meanwhile, the visitors will be forced into at least one change, with Sedlar suspended following his late red card against Real Betis. Sedlar's absence is likely to open the door for Moussa Diarra to line up in central defence alongside Abdel Abqar. Luis Garcia could be tempted to freshen up his side with the introduction of Hugo Novoa, Carlos Benavidez, Luka Romero and Jon Guridi.

Real Sociedad vs. Alaves Match Preview

Real Sociedad possible starting lineup:Remiro; Traore, Zubeldia, Martin, Lopez; Kubo, Zubimendi, Turrientes, Mendez; Oyarzabal, Becker

Alaves possible starting lineup:Sivera; Novoa, Abqar, Diarra, Sanchez; Benavidez, Guevara; Romero, Guridi, Conechny; Garcia

Real Sociedad would have taken confidence from Kubo's late winner in Saturday's clash with Espanyol, and we think that they will build upon that result by claiming a win against an Alaves side they have beaten in three of the last five competitive meetings.

Real Sociedad vs. Alaves Prediction

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Real Sociedad as the most likely winner of today's game. “Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Real Sociedad-Alaves game 10,000 times,” said Ryan Leaver from Dimers. “Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Real Sociedad a 58.4% chance of winning, Alaves a 16.8% chance, and a 24.8% chance of a draw.”

Real Sociedad vs. Alaves Odds & Best Bets

Wednesday's La Liga action between Real Sociedad and Alaves at Reale Arena is scheduled to commence in the United States at 3:30PM ET. Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Real Sociedad vs. Alaves matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds. Before making any Real Sociedad vs. Alaves picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro. Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's La Liga match between Real Sociedad and Alaves 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage. Our leading predictive model indicates a 58.4% chance of Real Sociedad winning, a 16.8% chance for Alaves, and a 24.8% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59% chance of staying under, according to our model. We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here: Our model's biggest edge in today's Real Sociedad vs. Alaves matchup is on the moneyline. Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best La Liga picks for every game throughout the season. Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro. Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Real Sociedad win being the most probable: These scorelines are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations. According to our computer model, Real Sociedad has a 58.4% win probability on Wednesday, Alaves has a 16.8% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Responsible Gambling

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Real Sociedad vs. Alaves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Final Thoughts

Keep up with the latest La Liga news and our data-driven La Liga best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our La Liga futures odds provide the latest probabilities for each La Liga title contender. Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers.com, Stats Insider, and Gambling Today, and specializes in soccer, NHL, and NBA betting.

Disclaimer

All of the information on this site is for entertainment purposes only. We DO NOT accept bets of any kind. The information we provide is accurate and trustworthy to help you make better decisions. When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as an online sportsbook), we may earn referral fees. Dimers does not endorse or encourage illegal or irresponsible gambling in any form. Before placing any wagers with any betting site, you must check the online gambling regulations in your jurisdiction or state, as they do vary. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Real Sociedad vs. Alaves Prediction: La Liga Matchup Preview & Best Bets
Credit: bet-experts.com
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Real Sociedad Deportivo Alavés LaLiga Real Sociedad Alaves La Liga Soccer prediction
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